607 Weather & Storm Chasing

607 Weather & Storm Chasing Full-time dad and husband, part-time chef. Providing accurate and timely local weather information and traffic alerts for the 607. Finger Lakes/Southern Tier/CNY
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💨 Damaging Wind Threat Highest Along & South of I-88 Saturday The Storm Prediction Center has highlighted portions of th...
06/05/2026

💨 Damaging Wind Threat Highest Along & South of I-88 Saturday

The Storm Prediction Center has highlighted portions of the Southern Tier for an elevated risk of damaging winds Saturday afternoon and evening.

🔴 The Binghamton area and locations east of Binghamton, mainly along and south of I-88, are inside a 30% wind risk area.

🟡 Areas outside of the red zone, including the Finger Lakes, western parts of the Southern Tier and portions of Central New York, remain in a 15% wind risk area.

What This Means:

The SPC is highlighting damaging straight-line winds as the primary severe weather threat tomorrow afternoon and evening.

The setup suggests:

• Scattered to numerous thunderstorms developing
• Some storms capable of producing wind gusts of 50-70+ mph (especially 30% hatched areas)
• Isolated tree damage and power outages are possible
• Heavy downpours and frequent lightning will accompany stronger storms
• Hail cannot be ruled out, but wind appears to be the main concern

⏰ Current timing still appears to be roughly 4 PM to 9 PM from west to east, though some adjustments are possible.

Not everyone will see severe weather, but this is one of the stronger wind outlooks we’ve seen so far this season. If you have outdoor plans Saturday afternoon or evening, be sure to keep an eye on the forecast and have a way to receive warnings. As always I will be posting any and all watches and warnings to the page in real time.

— 607 Weather

🥵 Get Those Air Conditioners Ready… A Significant Heat Wave Will Build Over The East Coast Next Week Confidence continue...
06/05/2026

🥵 Get Those Air Conditioners Ready… A Significant Heat Wave Will Build Over The East Coast Next Week

Confidence continues to increase that a significant warm-up will develop across the eastern United States next week, with the heat building into the Northeast by the end of the week and potentially lasting into next weekend.

For our area, temperatures are expected to climb well into the 80s beginning Tuesday, with some locations potentially approaching or even reaching 90°+ by late week if current trends continue.

A few things to keep in mind:
🌡️ This will likely be the hottest stretch of weather we’ve seen so far this year.
💧 Early-season heat can be more impactful since our bodies haven’t fully adjusted yet.
🥤 Stay hydrated and take breaks if spending extended time outdoors.
🌙 Warm overnight temperatures may provide less relief than we’ve experienced recently.

While exact temperatures and humidity levels are still being fine-tuned, the overall signal for above-average warmth is strong through at least the middle of June.

Who’s ready to trade the jackets for shorts and flip-flops? 😎☀️

— 607 Weather

🔥 We’ll Be Cranking The Heat Back Up Next Week! ☀️
06/05/2026

🔥 We’ll Be Cranking The Heat Back Up Next Week! ☀️

⛈️ Potential Storm Timing For Saturday ⛈️Latest guidance continues to suggest scattered showers and thunderstorms develo...
06/05/2026

⛈️ Potential Storm Timing For Saturday ⛈️

Latest guidance continues to suggest scattered showers and thunderstorms developing during the afternoon and evening hours tomorrow. Based on the current RRFS, the greatest window for storms across much of the 607 looks to be between 4 PM and 9 PM, moving generally from west to east.

🌩️ What to expect:
• Storms begin developing around 4 PM west of the area
• Activity moves into the Southern Tier and Finger Lakes between 5-7 PM
• Storms continue shifting east through the evening hours
• A few stronger storms could produce gusty winds, heavy downpours, and small hail

A quick note about the model shown:
This is the new RRFS (Rapid Refresh Forecast System), which is scheduled to replace the NAM later this summer. I’ve been comparing it closely with the NAM 3km and HRRR over the past several months, and it has generally done a better job with storm placement and overall coverage. While no model is perfect, it’s one I’ve started putting a little more confidence in lately.

⏰ Timing and storm coverage may still change, so be sure to check back later tonight and again tomorrow morning for updated forecast information.

— 607 Weather

🌊 What’s That Blue-Green Color Off the East Coast?Take a look at the blue-green area circled offshore of the Northeast c...
06/05/2026

🌊 What’s That Blue-Green Color Off the East Coast?

Take a look at the blue-green area circled offshore of the Northeast coast. What you’re seeing is most likely a large phytoplankton bloom—millions upon millions of microscopic plant-like organisms floating near the ocean surface.

These blooms occur when sunlight, water temperatures, and nutrients are all in the right place at the right time. The concentration is so large that satellites can easily detect the change in water color from space!

🌱 Phytoplankton are a vital part of the marine ecosystem and help produce a significant portion of the oxygen we breathe. While most blooms are harmless, exceptionally large blooms can sometimes impact marine life if they become too dense and begin to decompose.

Pretty incredible to think that something so small can create a feature visible from hundreds of miles above Earth! 🌎✨

⚠️ Severe Weather Threat Increasing for SaturdayThe Storm Prediction Center has upgraded much of our area to a Slight Ri...
06/05/2026

⚠️ Severe Weather Threat Increasing for Saturday

The Storm Prediction Center has upgraded much of our area to a Slight Risk (2/5) for severe weather Saturday afternoon and evening.

While widespread severe weather is not expected, scattered thunderstorms are likely to develop, and a few could become strong to severe.

Primary threats include:
🌬️ Damaging wind gusts
🧊 Hail
🌧️ Heavy downpours and localized flooding

The tornado threat remains well to our SW over western Pennsylvania, so as of right now that is not a worry for our area.

We’ll continue to fine-tune the timing and severity potential as we get closer. Stay tuned for updates.

— 607 Weather

Some Good News for Saturday ☀️⛈️One piece of good news for Saturday is that there should be some dry periods across much...
06/04/2026

Some Good News for Saturday ☀️⛈️

One piece of good news for Saturday is that there should be some dry periods across much of the area, especially during the morning hours.

As we head into the afternoon and evening, scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop. Exactly how widespread the coverage becomes is still somewhat uncertain, but a few storms could produce heavy downpours and gusty winds.

The Storm Prediction Center has also placed our area under a Marginal Risk (1/5) for severe weather on Saturday. Widespread severe weather is not expected, but an isolated stronger storm could produce damaging wind gusts and locally heavy rainfall.

Showers and thunderstorms may linger into the early overnight hours before gradually diminishing.

At this point, we’re not expecting an all-day washout, but if you have outdoor plans, be prepared for the possibility of a few rounds of showers and thunderstorms during the afternoon and evening.

I’ll have a better handle on the timing, storm potential, and overall precipitation coverage tomorrow as newer data comes in.

The garden is finally tilled and ready for planting! 🪏🌱🍓🍅🌽🥒🥕🫜🧑🏻‍🌾
06/04/2026

The garden is finally tilled and ready for planting! 🪏🌱🍓🍅🌽🥒🥕🫜🧑🏻‍🌾

🇨🇦🔥 Wildfires Burning Just 400 Miles AwayOne of the more useful tools for monitoring wildfire smoke is the HRRR Smoke Mo...
06/04/2026

🇨🇦🔥 Wildfires Burning Just 400 Miles Away

One of the more useful tools for monitoring wildfire smoke is the HRRR Smoke Model. It not only forecasts where smoke may travel, but it can also help identify the location of active wildfire sources.

In the image above, the bright pink areas highlighted by the arrows represent active wildfires burning across parts of Ontario. The eastern Ontario fire is of particular interest since it’s only about 400 miles from our region.

Right now, the smoke over our area remains very thin and elevated high in the atmosphere, making it difficult to notice and unlikely to cause significant air quality concerns. However, as we move deeper into wildfire season, don’t be surprised if skies occasionally appear hazy or sunsets become more vibrant, especially if wind patterns shift and transport more smoke into the Northeast.

For now, it’s mostly a reminder that we’ve entered that time of year when Canadian wildfire smoke can occasionally pay us a visit. 🌫️🌅🔥

— 607 Weather

☀️ Warmth Locked In Through Next WeekThe warming trend is just getting started. Latest guidance continues to show a stro...
06/04/2026

☀️ Warmth Locked In Through Next Week

The warming trend is just getting started. Latest guidance continues to show a strong signal for above-average temperatures through all of next week, with highs regularly reaching the mid to upper 80s across much of the region.

A few days could even flirt with the 90° mark, especially if sunshine is abundant.

This lines up well with recent CPC outlooks and ensemble guidance, which have consistently pointed toward a warmer-than-average pattern developing across the Northeast as we head deeper into June.

🌡️ Mid to upper 80s likely much of next week
🌡️ A couple 90° days possible
🌡️ Warm nights gradually returning
🌡️ Summer making an early appearance

Of course, we’ll keep an eye on any thunderstorm chances that may develop around the edges of the heat, but for now the overall message is simple:

Summer is knocking on the door. 🚪☀️

— 607 Weather

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